I would call an improve ftp test resulting in an ftp increase plus a solid race a rough day, I call that unconventional progress. The way I figure it is your FTP is always "at least" as high as your highest test result. If you suck at performing the test or perform the test in a less then optimal recovered state and score 200 then chances are you FTP could be 220, 240 or even higher. I just scored 318 for 20 mins so 95% of that is 302. I raced hard monday and Tuesday plus the pacing of the KISS was way higher than 318 for the first 5-10 mins while I was trying to hang on so my physical state was below optimal and pacing was not great. So its safe to assume my actual FTP could be higher than 302 but it's hard to say just how much higher. This is about where I always seem to plateau so I'll need to try a little harder or maybe something a little different if I ever want to reach that magic 350 watt ftp.